Loan-Cycling Patterns and Credit Risk Monitoring Failures
What this course covers
Scenario
A federally chartered development bank extended 9 loans totalling $570,000 to a technology software company based in Kelowna, British Columbia between 2018 and 2024. The company's sole shareholder signed personal guarantees for each advance. A troubling pattern emerged: when principal repayments came due and monthly obligations jumped from approximately $2,500 to over $12,000, the company would request deferrals or obtain new loans with fresh postponement periods, temporarily suppressing cash flow pressure before obligations ballooned again.
Throughout this period, the borrower's financial statements showed steady deterioration—revenue falling from $1.09 million in 2018 to $225,000 by 2023, with cumulative deficits exceeding $469,000. Yet the shareholder consistently projected optimism to the lender, citing growth opportunities. In January 2025, the company defaulted on all 9 loans with $318,174 outstanding.
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